Inter vs Como – Prediction & Match Stats

Serie A - Regular Season - 11

Inter

Match Finished

08 Nov 2026 17:00

Como

1X2 probabilityFrom average bookmaker odds

147%2.01

X24%3.89

228%3.36

San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
Referee: Daniele Chiffi

Match centre

Inter2 – 0Full timeHalf-time: 2–0

Como

Match events

Pio EspositoDjed Spence12'
Marcus Thuram19'
45'Samuele RicciMaximo Perrone
45'Ivan SmolcicMartin Baturina
Pio Esposito72'
Henrikh MkhitaryanPiotr Zieliński72'
Ange-Yoan BonnyPio Esposito72'
74'Maxence CaqueretLucas Da Cunha
74'Mattia LiberaliYan Couto
74'Kaiki BrunoÁlex Valle
Petar SučićHakan Çalhanoğlu81'
Andy DioufFederico Dimarco87'
Benjamin PavardMarcus Thuram88'

Match statistics

Attack

1.86Expected goals (xG)0.23

14Shots5

4Shots on target1

4Corners2

Control

43%Possession57%

Discipline

13Fouls6

1Yellow cards0

8Offsides3

Goalkeeping

1Saves2

Best players

8.2Player of the matchM. ThuramInter

F. Esposito8.0
Carlos Augusto7.6

Lineups

Inter3-5-2

Starting XI

1Josep MartínezG7.0
30Carlos AugustoD7.6
95A. BastoniD7.3
25M. AkanjiD7.1
32F. DimarcoM6.6
7P. ZielińskiM6.7
20H. ÇalhanoğluM7.0
23N. BarellaM7.2
99D. SpenceM7.5
9M. ThuramF8.2
94F. EspositoF8.0

Substitutes (13)

14A. BonnyF6.4
28B. PavardD6.5
21C. JonesM
49I. ProvedelG
22H. MkhitaryanM6.4
53M. LavelliF
17A. DioufM6.5
5A. StankovićM
31Y. BisseckD
46L. BovioD
6J. StonesD
12R. Di GennaroG
8P. SučićM6.6

Coach: C. Chivu

Como4-2-3-1

Starting XI

97Robert SánchezG6.1
3Álex ValleD6.4
2M. KempfD6.8
4Jacobo Ramón NaverosD6.5
27Yan CoutoD6.7
6Luis MillaM6.9
5M. PerroneM6.6
20M. BaturinaM6.1
10N. PazM6.1
7L. da CunhaM6.4
9T. DouvikasF6.2

Substitutes (13)

8M. CaqueretM6.0
55C. De PaoliD
13A. DossenaD
18E. GoldanigaD
16KaikiD6.2
53Willy Kambwala NdengushiD
15A. LahdoM
30M. LiberaliM6.0
21S. RicciM6.8
28I. SmolčićD6.6
22M. VigoritoG
1J. ButezG
54Matteo PapaccioliM

Coach: Cesc Fàbregas

Our prediction

Our model in every market AI modelChance and fair odds

Match result (1X2)

Inter65%1.53Draw20%5.04Como15%6.74

Double chance

1X85%1.171280%1.25X235%2.88

1X = Inter or draw · 12 = Inter or Como · X2 = draw or Como

Draw no bet

Inter81%1.23Como19%5.40

Over/Under 2.5 goals beta

Over 2.557%1.77Under 2.543%2.30

Both teams to score

Yes58%1.73No42%2.38

Over/Under 1.5 goals beta

Over 1.579%1.26Under 1.521%4.84

Over/Under 3.5 goals beta

Over 3.534%2.93Under 3.566%1.52

Show all markets

Over/Under 0.5 goals beta

Over 0.595%1.05Under 0.55%19.27

Over/Under 4.5 goals beta

Over 4.518%5.66Under 4.582%1.21

Home team over 0.5 goals

Over 0.587%1.14Under 0.513%7.99

Away team over 0.5 goals

Over 0.572%1.39Under 0.528%3.55

Home team over 1.5 goals

Over 1.562%1.63Under 1.539%2.60

Away team over 1.5 goals

Over 1.522%4.59Under 1.578%1.28

Home clean sheet

Yes28%3.55No72%1.39

Away clean sheet

Yes13%7.99No87%1.14

Home win to nil beta

Yes37%2.73No63%1.58

Away win to nil beta

Yes7%13.66No93%1.08

BTTS and Over 2.5 beta

Yes41%2.41No59%1.71

Handicap home +1

Inter85%1.17Draw10%9.80Como5%21.55

Handicap home -1

Inter41%2.43Draw24%4.12Como35%2.88

Odd/even goals

Even50%2.00Odd50%2.00

Correct score

2-011%8.841-011%9.182-110%10.121-19%10.633-08%12.773-17%14.620-05%19.270-15%21.832-24%23.421-24%24.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ chance. A bookmaker price above the fair odds is value. Beta markets are still being tested.

Premium Today: 1 value tips and 37 high hit rate picks.

Standings

Serie A

Inter		Como
2.	Position	5.
28	Points	23
11	Played	11
9-1-1	Won-Drawn-Lost	7-2-2
28:13	Goals	18:10
+15	Goal difference	+8
6-0-0	Home record / Away record	4-1-2
WLWWW	Form	LWWWW

Hide full tableShow full table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Lazio	11	9	2	0	25:9	+16	29	DWWWW
2	Inter	11	9	1	1	28:13	+15	28	WLWWW
3	AS Roma	11	8	3	0	31:10	+21	27	WWWDW
4	AC Milan	11	7	3	1	23:13	+10	24	WWLWW
5	Como	11	7	2	2	18:10	+8	23	LWWWW
6	Frosinone	11	6	2	3	24:15	+9	20	LWWDW
7	Juventus	11	5	3	3	15:12	+3	18	DWLWL
8	Bologna	11	5	2	4	16:14	+2	17	WWWWL
9	Cagliari	11	5	1	5	10:15	-5	16	WLLLL
10	Napoli	11	4	3	4	18:14	+4	15	DLWDL
11	Torino	11	4	2	5	15:17	-2	14	DLLWW
12	Atalanta	11	4	2	5	17:20	-3	14	WLDDL
13	Genoa	11	4	1	6	11:16	-5	13	LWWWL
14	Lecce	11	3	1	7	12:22	-10	10	DLLLW
15	Fiorentina	11	2	3	6	17:25	-8	9	DWDLL
16	Parma	11	2	2	7	9:17	-8	8	LWDLL
17	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	16:29	-13	8	LLLLL
18	Monza	11	2	1	8	17:25	-8	7	LLLLW
19	Venezia	11	2	0	9	8:21	-13	6	WLLLW
20	Udinese	11	1	2	8	12:25	-13	5	LLDLL

Champions League league stageEuropa League league stagePlay-offsRelegation

Match Stats

Based on each team’s last 10 matches before this game

65%

Over 2.5

League average: 61%

60%

BTTS

League average: 58%

3.25

Goals per match

League average: 3.14

85%

Over 1.5

All matchesHome / Away

InterComo

2	League position	5
28	Points	23
WWWLW	Form	DWWWW
2.2	Points per game	2.3
2.5	Goals scored	1.8
1.4	Goals conceded	0.8
80%	Over 2.5	50%
60%	BTTS	60%
40%	Clean sheets	30%
0%	Failed to score	20%

WWLWW	Form	WWLWW
2.57	Points per game	2.17
3	Goals scored	2.17
1.57	Goals conceded	1.17
86%	Over 2.5	67%
71%	BTTS	83%
29%	Clean sheets	0%
0%	Failed to score	17%

Head to head (6)

Inter: 5Draws: 1Como: 0

Goals per match: 3.33 · Over 2.5: 50% · BTTS: 33%

Odds and probabilities

Probabilities are calculated from the average bookmaker odds with the margin removed. They are market numbers, not tips.

1X2

147%2.01

X24%3.89

228%3.36

Double Chance

1X71%1.31

1275%1.24

X252%1.81

BTTS

Yes63%1.47

No37%2.55

Over/Under 1.5

Over82%1.15

Under18%5.23

Over/Under 2.5

Over62%1.51

Under38%2.51

Over/Under 3.5

Over42%2.29

Under58%1.64

Half Time

137%2.45

X38%2.43

225%3.65

NEW

Inter vs Como – Match Preview & Analysis

Inter beat Como 2–0. Inter are unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 meetings with Como. Before kick-off, Johib ML rated Inter as the most likely result (45%). The prediction was correct.